Thursday, April 19, 2007

Before and after pictures of same field

The first picture was taken April 1, 2007. The second was taken on the 14th. This was the second snow in two weeks.

Wednesday, April 18, 2007

Wheat deep freeze update

I've been visiting with local farmers and extension folks the last couple of days about the status of the wheat crop. According to the experts around the state, this part of Kansas has been hit about the hardest of any area, though the damage cuts a swath from North Central Kansas towards Pratt, southeasterly through Kingman and continues into Northeastern Oklahoma. Everything east of that line has received damage, ranging from moderate to total freeze out.

Having said that, one extension expert was cautiously optimistic as he noted in his travels and wheat inspections that the wheat crown is putting out new tiller spikes. He suggests we wait another ten days to see the extent of the emergence before deciding what to do.

Having said that as well, the emerging tillers will be numerous, yet will be very short and will probably head out two weeks later than the normal May 1 timeframe and the critical fill will be between June 1 and the 10th. The weather can turn hot and dry then, turning the late filling heads into light grain. He gives it a 50-50 chance of a normal, average yield.

I'm willing to wait. Actually, I have no other plausible option. My herbicide application on the wheat in mid March requires a 120 day delay before planting beans or milo. I used an extra light application so I may be able to plant 30 days earlier than the July 15 date, but that's not much consolation as it eliminates normal planting dates for either crop.

So, there you have it. My opinion of the grain trade taking a wait and see attitude is that they are misreading this market and the freeze much like they misread the freeze a decade ago. The odds of that optimum recovery happening again is too high. The freeze ocurred earlier giving the tillers a head start. The weather cooperated as well, with cool spring winds and frequent rains without the hassle of high temperatures that normally ocurr in Kansas.

I'll have before and after pictures posted by this weekend when the tillers have emerged a little more.

Friday, April 06, 2007

Deep Freeze in Spring

These pictures are from the snowstorm that hit Kansas April 5, 2007. The wheat was around twelve inches tall, standing perfect before the snow. As you can see, the snow depth is about six inches, even after melting ocurred during the snowfall.

Tonight's forecast calls for a low of 15 degrees, with Saturday to be as cold. The sun is out, the skies are clearing. Snow is beginning to melt. Without snow and cloud cover, the wheat's survival may be in jeapardy.

This field is planted to the Overly variety. I also have 2137 which is a little later in maturity than Overly, which may not be as far along and fare better through the cold spell.